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  • Dagny

17 March 2020 - Lunch News

(If you just want the coronavirus humor then skip to near the end…. Sometimes humor is good for you.)

Europe and US are mostly all on the same path. Note log Y-axis (linear=exponential; steeper line is more exponential). Japan also has limited testing. Only SK, Singapore and HK have it under control or improving. #COVID19 Why is Hong Kong so good?

"Look I know it's not the usual thing to do in US and Europe, but wearing mask in Hong Kong is critical in controlling the spread. We have learnt from SARs" Henrietta Chu@HenriettaChu1

Hong Kong, Singapore and Taiwan have kept deaths low.  Here’s how they did it: Since she learned of the coronavirus outbreak, Amy Ho’s daily routine has gotten a bit more complicated. Coming home now involves sanitizing her shoes, washing her hands with soap and water, taking off her medical mask and changing her clothes. The Hong Kong resident ventures outside only by necessity. She walks to and from work. Goes to the grocery store once a week. That’s it. Her teenage daughter has only left their apartment twice since the end of January.“It’s annoying, sure. But our health is the most important thing,” she says.Over Easter, the family looked forward to vacationing in the U.K. and Italy. But with the virus raging, they canceled.Her precautions may sound drastic, but they’re hardly unique in a city that was among the first to be swept up in the global coronavirus crisis.

That Hong Kong has become a lodestar for its ability to seemingly keep the disease at bay, for now at least, is no accident: it’s desperate to avoid repeating the nightmare of a 2003 epidemic. Globally, SARS or severe acute respiratory syndrome, infected over 8,000 and killed 774, including 299 in Hong Kong.Though SARS devastated many Asian metropolises, in its wake, some doubled down on preparing for the next crisis.“Somewhat perversely, we can look at SARS as the dress rehearsal,” says Jeremy Lim, co-director of the Leadership Institute for Global Health Transformation at the National University of Singapore. “The experience was raw, and very, very visceral. And on the back of [it], better systems were put in place.”

Singapore, Hong Kong and Taiwan have been hailed for using those hard-won lessons to combat the new coronavirus—officially COVID-19 and a relative of SARS.It’s still too early for anywhere to declare victory just yet. But against the odds, these enclaves have succeeded at keeping their virus numbers low, despite their links to China. Perhaps governments in North America and Europe, which are now bearing the brunt of the pandemic, can emulate their best practices, and turn the tide on an infection spreading rapidly through the global population.

Trump and China have a subtle argument:

President Donald Trump said Tuesday that the Chinese Communist Party provided information that was false about the COVID-19 coronavirus, which emerged in Wuhan, in his first critical comments towards the regime’s handling of the outbreak. China was putting information which was false that our military gave this [virus] to them,” he said. “That was false, and rather than having an argument, I have to call it where it came from. It did come from China.”He was responding to a question from a reporter about his Twitter post on Monday evening, where he referred to the novel coronavirus as a “Chinese virus.” I didn’t appreciate the fact that China was saying that our military gave it to them,” he said. “Our military did not give it to anybody.”The president told reporters the term doesn’t create a stigma against China and described the term as accurate".

Several weeks ago, White House national security advisor Robert O’Brien said that the Chinese regime silenced doctors and whistleblowers during the early phases of the outbreak, costing the “world community two months to respond.” Is this a form of biological warfare?

A Chinese Communist Party-employed “journalist” just attempted to gain entry to the White House press briefing room while running a fever.

This is the journalist turned away from the White House press briefing for having a fever. He’s from the outlet CGTN—an English language channel that is Chinese owned.

Regarding the numbers:

A medical professor at Johns Hopkins University named Marty Makary believes that there are “probably 25 to 50 people who have the virus for every one person who is confirmed” “Don’t believe the numbers when you see, even on our Johns Hopkins website, that 1,600 Americans have the virus,” he said.

“No, that means 1,600 got the test, tested positive. There are probably 25 to 50 people who have the virus for every one person who is confirmed.

He added: “I think we have between 50,000 and half a million cases right now walking around in the United States.”

If he is correct, and considering how easily this virus spreads from person to person, it isn’t going to be too long before this virus is everywhere, as Makary concluded: "...we’re about to experience the worst public health epidemic since polio" According to an analysis that was just conducted by USA Today, we could soon see 17 seriously ill coronavirus patients competing for each open hospital bed… A USA TODAY analysis shows that if the nation sees a major spike, there could be almost six seriously ill patients for every existing hospital bed.

That analysis, based on data from the American Hospital Association, U.S. Census, CDC and World Health Organization, is conservative. For example, it assumes all 790,000 beds will be empty.

Since two thirds are not, the reality could be far worse: about 17 people competing for each open bed. When COVID-19 originally starting sweeping across China, most Americans weren’t really too concerned about it, but now a brand new survey has found that about two-thirds of all Americans are worried about catching the virus… Two-thirds of Americans are concerned that they or someone they know will be infected with the novel coronavirus, but in a country with a growing partisan divide, political tribalism is having a large impact when it comes to anxiety over the disease, according to a new ABC News/Ipsos poll released Friday.

Although unease over the coronavirus is high, it also strongly breaks along partisan lines. Among Democrats, 83% are concerned about getting coronavirus, including 47% who are very concerned, and among Republicans, 56% are concerned, including only 15% who are very concerned. Only 17% of Democrats are not concerned while a larger 44% of Republicans are not concerned.

Not just the elderly need hospitalization:

"MORE THAN 50% OF THE 300 #COVIDー19 CASES IN CRITICAL CONDITION IN FRANCE ARE UNDER 60," tweeted The Atlantic's Rachel Donadio on Saturday. Meanwhile in the Netherlands, over half are reportedly under 50 years old. "Today there are between forty and fifty corona patients in critical condition on Dutch intensive care units. “More than half of those patients are under fifty years oldThere are also young people. "" That says chairman of the Dutch Association for Intensive Care (NVIC) Diederik Gommers, in an interview with this site."

Governor Brown of Oregon announces additional measures to slow the spread of COVID-19

Governor Kate Brown today announced new measures to flatten the curve of coronavirus transmission in Oregon. The new orders on social distancing measures are effective tomorrow, March 17, for at least four weeks, and they include:

A statewide cancelation of all events and gatherings larger than 25 people — exempting essential locations like workplaces, grocery stores, pharmacies, and retail stores.

It's additionally recommended that Oregonians avoid gatherings of 10 people or more.

Restaurants, bars, and other establishments may not offer food or beverages for on-site consumption; they are restricted to carry-out and delivery only.

Food service at health care facilities, workplaces, and other essential facilities will continue.All other businesses are urged to assess their practices, implement strong social distancing measures, and close their doors temporarily if they cannot put the new guidance in place.

Dr. Gottlieb MD says:

We’ll get through this. It’ll end. We have two hard months ahead of us. We need to sacrifice some of the trappings of normal life to reduce the scope and severity of what’s ahead. We must protect the vulnerable. We must act collectively in common interest. We must work together.

Updated to reflect new and increasing #coronavirus test capacity at Stanford, CUMC, Northwell, NorthShore University Healthsystem and UW Virology

Coronavirus humor: New York is taking the coronavirus seriously. I hear new testing methods are being done without even leaving your house! All you have to do is mail a sample of your stool to: Andrew M. Cuomo Governor of New York State NYS State Capitol Building Albany, NY 12224 Terence Williams on Trump and Swine Flu: 1.5 minutes. Well done! Miracle: Coronavirus Passes Over Houses With Chick-Fil-A Sauce Smeared On Door Posts CNN's Ratings Collapse As Coronavirus Fears Empty American Airports Bernie: 'We Must Seize The Means Of Toilet Paper Production’

"Always good to look at the bright side of your life.

This has woke up people that borders are good to have.It has taught us to not rely on China for all our essential needs.

More people are now not trusting what the mainstream media is selling.We are cooking at home and spending time together with our family.

Our kids are not going to their daily brainwashing centers.

Hollywood is getting screwed right now.

ICE might get a needed rest. With Mexico threatening to close our border and restaurants temporarily closing, I think we will see some illegals going back to their countries.

I read today that sex workers are struggling because people are not wanting to swap germs right now, so hopefully that will help cut down sex trafficking.

I know I am missing tons, so please add to the list."

"The brightest side of all this is that for the next 5 years no one will have to spend a penny on toilet paper.

and we will have a use for old phone books and junk mail"

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